Polls opened as early as midnight in some places in New Hampshire, the site of the nation's first primary. Some results have already come in, showing McCain leading in Dixville Notch and also leading Mike Huckabee in Hart's Location. These numbers will continue to change as the day goes on.
What effect will the New Hampshire results have on the rest of the primary season? If McCain wins, will he have staying power, seeing that his campaign is already low on funding and infrastructure, or will Giuliani have an opening as there won't be a clear front-runner heading towards February 5th?
Stay tuned to RealRepublicanMajority.org for the latest news and updates.
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
Monday, January 7, 2008
Latest NH Polls; Weekend Debates
Today is the last full day the GOP candidates have to make the case of why voters should choose them before Tuesday's primary election contest takes place.
A Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogy poll shows John McCain leading Mitt Romney 34%-29%. A CNN/WMUR/UNH polling of likely voters in the state showes McCain over Romney 32%-26%. And finally, McCain leads Romney 34%-30% in the latest USA Today/Gallup poll.
The outlook is not good for the Romney campaign. If he loses tomorrow, his run for president is essentially over. For months, Romney has led in both Iowa and New Hampshire and his campaign strategy was dependent upon his success in thoses two states. On Saturday, Romney won the Wyoming caucus; however, no other candidate made an effort in that state, so his win means virtually nothing.
The candidates also participated in two debates, one hosted by ABC, the other by FoxNews. Romney was targeted the most in both debates, largely for his flip-flopping on major issues. Romney himslef admitted to changing his positions. For a link to the ABC debate, click here. Stay tuned for a link to the full FoxNews debate.
A Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogy poll shows John McCain leading Mitt Romney 34%-29%. A CNN/WMUR/UNH polling of likely voters in the state showes McCain over Romney 32%-26%. And finally, McCain leads Romney 34%-30% in the latest USA Today/Gallup poll.
The outlook is not good for the Romney campaign. If he loses tomorrow, his run for president is essentially over. For months, Romney has led in both Iowa and New Hampshire and his campaign strategy was dependent upon his success in thoses two states. On Saturday, Romney won the Wyoming caucus; however, no other candidate made an effort in that state, so his win means virtually nothing.
The candidates also participated in two debates, one hosted by ABC, the other by FoxNews. Romney was targeted the most in both debates, largely for his flip-flopping on major issues. Romney himslef admitted to changing his positions. For a link to the ABC debate, click here. Stay tuned for a link to the full FoxNews debate.
Friday, January 4, 2008
Huckabee and Obama Win Iowa
In two decisive wins, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee and Senator Barack Obama won the Iowa caucuses last night.
Republican Huckabee surged in the poll over the last month, defeating former MA Governor Mitt Romney who outspent Huckabee in a 20 to 1 margin. 60% of voters who turned out to vote in the Iowa election described themsevles as Evangelical Christians. This demographic certainly played to Huckabee's advantage. The question now is, will Huckabee be able to ride this wave of momentum? Likely not, as the next primary will be next Tuesday, January 8th in New Hampshire, where voters have a long history of supporting individual freedom and where Huckabee will not find such a base of religious voters.
In order to remain in the race, Romney MUST win New Hampshire. His entire campaign has focused on being able to win Iowa and New Hampshire and buidling momentum from there. With Iowa out of the picture, all eyes are on New Hampshire. If he fails to come in first, it's all but certain his campaign is over.
The full results for the night were:
Mike Huckabee: 34%
Mitt Romney: 25%
Fred Thompson: 13%
John McCain: 13%
Ron Paul: 10%
Rudy Giuliani: 3%
Duncan Hunter: 0%
For complete coverage, click here.
Republican Huckabee surged in the poll over the last month, defeating former MA Governor Mitt Romney who outspent Huckabee in a 20 to 1 margin. 60% of voters who turned out to vote in the Iowa election described themsevles as Evangelical Christians. This demographic certainly played to Huckabee's advantage. The question now is, will Huckabee be able to ride this wave of momentum? Likely not, as the next primary will be next Tuesday, January 8th in New Hampshire, where voters have a long history of supporting individual freedom and where Huckabee will not find such a base of religious voters.
In order to remain in the race, Romney MUST win New Hampshire. His entire campaign has focused on being able to win Iowa and New Hampshire and buidling momentum from there. With Iowa out of the picture, all eyes are on New Hampshire. If he fails to come in first, it's all but certain his campaign is over.
The full results for the night were:
Mike Huckabee: 34%
Mitt Romney: 25%
Fred Thompson: 13%
John McCain: 13%
Ron Paul: 10%
Rudy Giuliani: 3%
Duncan Hunter: 0%
For complete coverage, click here.
Thursday, January 3, 2008
'08 Elections Begin Today
The caucuses in Iowa are underway as voters there decide who they want their Republican and Democratic nominees to be in November 2008.
There is much hype that surrounds the Iowa caucuses, however, what is rarely mentioned is the actual impact that Iowa election holds: Republican voters in Iowa have only 40 Delegates available to them to send to the GOP Convention in St. Paul which has the power to officially nominate the person who will represent our Party in the November general election. Iowa, being one of the smaller states in the U.S. in terms of population, carries little weight in the overall number of delegates needed to win the nomination. More populous states, such as Florida which has 129 delegates availble, will have a greater impact on the nominating process.
While most of the GOP nominees have put all their eggs in one, or two, baskets-- Iowa and New Hampshire-- other candidates have examined the delegate selection process and have seen the importance of doing well in other, more populous states, many of whom head to the polls for primary day on February 5th.
No doubt, the momentum of past elections has propelled candidates from Iowa straight to the general election, but this year will prove to be much different. Never before have we seen so many states holding primaries in early February and with so little time between the states' elections. It is imperative to watch how the importance of these Iowa caucuses change the ultimate outcome of the election.
There is much hype that surrounds the Iowa caucuses, however, what is rarely mentioned is the actual impact that Iowa election holds: Republican voters in Iowa have only 40 Delegates available to them to send to the GOP Convention in St. Paul which has the power to officially nominate the person who will represent our Party in the November general election. Iowa, being one of the smaller states in the U.S. in terms of population, carries little weight in the overall number of delegates needed to win the nomination. More populous states, such as Florida which has 129 delegates availble, will have a greater impact on the nominating process.
While most of the GOP nominees have put all their eggs in one, or two, baskets-- Iowa and New Hampshire-- other candidates have examined the delegate selection process and have seen the importance of doing well in other, more populous states, many of whom head to the polls for primary day on February 5th.
No doubt, the momentum of past elections has propelled candidates from Iowa straight to the general election, but this year will prove to be much different. Never before have we seen so many states holding primaries in early February and with so little time between the states' elections. It is imperative to watch how the importance of these Iowa caucuses change the ultimate outcome of the election.
Wednesday, January 2, 2008
Countdown to Iowa Caucuses
Tomorrow, voters in Iowa will participate in caucuses to vote for both the Republican and Democratic Presidential candidates. All eyes are on this state as it is the first to partake in the 2008 elections. Governor Mitt Romney and Governor Mike Huckabee are the leading contenders for the GOP, and the race is a virtual dead heat as the margins of error are considered in polling numbers.
Earlier this week Governor Huckabee called a press conference to unveil a new ad attacking Romney, but at the last moment at the press conference, announced that he would not air the ad on television. However, he still showed the ad to the press which enabled reporters to record the video in the room and air the ad themselves on their respective networks. Clearly, Huckabee knew what he was doing by allowing press to see the ad-- he could still call himself the 'good guy' because he did not participate in an attack of him main opponent in the state, yet was able to get the message across that he wanted voters to know about Romney's record. Hopefully voters will be able to see through this tactic.
For more on polling in Iowa and the other early primary states, click here.
Earlier this week Governor Huckabee called a press conference to unveil a new ad attacking Romney, but at the last moment at the press conference, announced that he would not air the ad on television. However, he still showed the ad to the press which enabled reporters to record the video in the room and air the ad themselves on their respective networks. Clearly, Huckabee knew what he was doing by allowing press to see the ad-- he could still call himself the 'good guy' because he did not participate in an attack of him main opponent in the state, yet was able to get the message across that he wanted voters to know about Romney's record. Hopefully voters will be able to see through this tactic.
For more on polling in Iowa and the other early primary states, click here.
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
McCain Launches Attack Effort in NH
Arizona Senator and presidential hopeful John McCain issued a direct mail piece this week to further chip away at Governor Mitt Romney's front-runner status in New Hampshire.
McCain's mailer paints Romney as someone who can't be trusted and who has flip-flopped on many issues, highlighting in this piece his change on illegal immigration. Romney has held a lead in New Hampshire, but in recent weeks his lead has dwindled at the site of the nation's first primary. Romney also lost his lead in Iowa to former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee.
Will McCain's effort help his own numbers in the New Hampshire polls?
For more, click here.
McCain's mailer paints Romney as someone who can't be trusted and who has flip-flopped on many issues, highlighting in this piece his change on illegal immigration. Romney has held a lead in New Hampshire, but in recent weeks his lead has dwindled at the site of the nation's first primary. Romney also lost his lead in Iowa to former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee.
Will McCain's effort help his own numbers in the New Hampshire polls?
For more, click here.
McCain Launches Attack Effort in NH
Arizona Senator and presidential candidate John McCain launched direct mail attack against Governor Mitt Romney in an effort to chip away further at Romney's front-runner status in New Hampshire.
McCain's mailpiece paints Romney as someone who can't be trusted and who flip-flopped on many issues and highlights his change on illegal immigration. Romney holds a strong lead in New Hampshire, the site of the nation's first primary, but in recent weeks he has lost some of his momentum there along with losing his lead in Iowa to former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee.
Will McCain's effort to tell the truth about Governor Romney also help him in gaining groun in the NH polls?
For more, click here.
McCain's mailpiece paints Romney as someone who can't be trusted and who flip-flopped on many issues and highlights his change on illegal immigration. Romney holds a strong lead in New Hampshire, the site of the nation's first primary, but in recent weeks he has lost some of his momentum there along with losing his lead in Iowa to former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee.
Will McCain's effort to tell the truth about Governor Romney also help him in gaining groun in the NH polls?
For more, click here.
Tuesday, December 11, 2007
Special Elections in VA-01 and OH-05
Voters will head to the polls today in Virginia's 1st district to replace the late Rep. JoAnn Davis. There are three candidates for the race-- a Republican, a Democrat and an Independent. Unfortunately the Republican candidate, who has the strongest chance of winning in this solid Republican district, is a staunch conservative on social issues and more.
The same goes in Ohio's 5th district, where voters will choice between a far-right conservative and a Democrat to replace the late Rep. Paul Gillmor. This district is rated R+10 on the PVI scale. Certainly, had a moderate Republican been the GOP candidate, they would still have enough support to win in the general election.
If our moderate majority is to expand in the next session of Congress, we must have strong candidates who are willing to fight for the real Republican principles and stand up to the extreme faction of the GOP who is attempting to make our Party into one of extremists.
The same goes in Ohio's 5th district, where voters will choice between a far-right conservative and a Democrat to replace the late Rep. Paul Gillmor. This district is rated R+10 on the PVI scale. Certainly, had a moderate Republican been the GOP candidate, they would still have enough support to win in the general election.
If our moderate majority is to expand in the next session of Congress, we must have strong candidates who are willing to fight for the real Republican principles and stand up to the extreme faction of the GOP who is attempting to make our Party into one of extremists.
Thursday, December 6, 2007
Romney to Give Speech on Mormon Fatih
Presidential candidate Mitt Romney will deliver a speech this morning on his Mormon faith and confront many of his critics who believe his faith is a detriment to his presidential aspirations.
Romney's speech will take place at the George H.W. Bush presidential library in Texas. Romney will say that no candidate should be rejected because of his religion and that, "Given our grand tradition of religious tolerance and liberty, some wonder whether there are any questions regarding an aspiring candidate’s religion that are appropriate. “I believe there are. And I will answer them today.’’
For more on what to expect from Romney's speech, click here.
Romney's speech will take place at the George H.W. Bush presidential library in Texas. Romney will say that no candidate should be rejected because of his religion and that, "Given our grand tradition of religious tolerance and liberty, some wonder whether there are any questions regarding an aspiring candidate’s religion that are appropriate. “I believe there are. And I will answer them today.’’
For more on what to expect from Romney's speech, click here.
Tuesday, December 4, 2007
Giuliani and Norquist Exchange Letters
Rudy Giuliani's campaign yesterday released an exchange of letters between Mayor Giuliani and Grover Norquist, head of Americans for Tax Reform. During last week's YouTube/CNN debate, Norquist asked the candidates whether, as president, they would oppose and veto any tax increase. Giuliani's response was "yes".
In what seems to be an endorsement, though not blatantly stated as such by Mr. Norquist, he has thrown his support behimd Giuliani's campaign by saying,
To read Norquist's letter in full, click here.
In what seems to be an endorsement, though not blatantly stated as such by Mr. Norquist, he has thrown his support behimd Giuliani's campaign by saying,
"I am grateful to you for highlighting your tremendous record of pro-growth tax policy as mayor of New York City. By cutting taxes 23 times in New York, you
saved New York City taxpayers more than $9 billion in taxes and lowered the tax
burden to the lowest it had been in decades. As you've said on the campaign
trail, these tax cuts worked and because of them New York City's economy has
flourished."
To read Norquist's letter in full, click here.
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